6th November 14:30 Sedgefield – Michael & Olivia Watson Novices’ Handicap Chase (0–110)
Going: Good to Soft | Distance: 2m3f | Class: 4 | Runners: 9
Run Style Trends (Last 20 Winners): 1 – 72%, 2 – 9%, 3 – 9%, 4 – 9%
🏆 Winner – Fierce Warrior (5/2)
PLACE 🥈
Consistent profile with strong figures across the board (M+A 166, Ability 77). Jumps well, usually races prominently which suits Sedgefield perfectly. Stable in form and fitness assured — hard to oppose if reproducing last two runs.
⚔️ Danger – Born In The West (4/1)
Improving steadily, with solid chase figures (Avg 77, Distance 88). Likely to track the pace and stay on strongly late. Course profile and stamina suggest he’s the one most likely to capitalise if the favourite falters.
💰 Value Each-Way – Fat Harry (3/1)
WINNER 🏆
Two solid recent efforts and an M+A figure (160) putting him right in the mix. Strong finisher who could nick a place if the leaders tire on the climb to the line. Represents each-way value given the course bias to pace.
Summary: Fierce Warrior should be tough to catch on a front-runner’s track, Born In The West looks the main threat if stamina comes into play, and Fat Harry gives solid each-way value at 8/1.
6th November 15:40 Sedgefield – Paxtons No1 for CaseIH Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Going: Good | Distance: 2m5f | Class: 5 | Runners: 10
Run Style Trends (Last 20 Winners): 1 – 88%, 2 – 11%, 3 – 0%, 4 – 0%
🏆 Winner – Keep On Cobbing (7/2)
WINNER 🏆
Consistent mare who makes her own running — exactly what you want at Sedgefield. Top Master (82) and M+A (136) figures, proven stamina at trip, and handles the ground well. If she jumps cleanly in front, they’ll have to come and catch her.
⚔️ Danger – Path Of Stars (11/2)
PLACE 🥈
Very solid numbers (M+A 153, Ability 75) and tends to race handily — ideal for this track. Only small concern is that she’s been finding one too good recently, but if the leader goes too hard she’ll be there to pounce in the straight.
💰 Value Each-Way – Faerie Cutlass (9/1)
Nicely weighted and capable of better — figures (M+A 131) suggest she’s competitive in this grade. Tends to sit just behind the leaders and finish off well. If the two main fancies duel early, she’s the one who could slip into a place or better.
Summary: Keep On Cobbing fits the front-runner’s profile perfectly for Sedgefield; Path Of Stars looks the main danger if the pace collapses late, and Faerie Cutlass is a fair each-way play with figures to match.
Honest John Tipster Straight talk, no fluff, just form.